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International

What central banks can do when shocks come from outside

Central banks’ role when external shocks hit

External shocks—from commodity price surges, wars, and pandemics to foreign monetary tightening and abrupt capital flow reversals—create swift and varied challenges for central banks. The suitable reaction hinges on the type of shock (demand, supply, financial, or external liquidity), its duration, and the economy’s structural traits. This article presents practical instruments, strategic considerations, illustrative cases, and the trade-offs that central banks navigate when disturbances arise outside national borders.Classifying external shocks and the policy implicationsDemand shocks: Sharp contractions in global demand cut export earnings and weaken domestic production. Policy priorities typically pivot to sustaining economic momentum through rate reductions, ample liquidity,…
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Why the energy transition moves at different speeds across countries

How countries achieve different energy transition speeds

The transition from fossil fuels to low‑carbon energy systems is neither guaranteed nor consistent, as each nation advances at its own pace due to a multifaceted blend of economics, institutions, resources, technology, politics and historical context, and recognizing how these factors interact clarifies why some countries accelerate renewable adoption while others proceed slowly even when climate and economic benefits are evident.Core drivers that speed up or slow down transitionsEconomics and cost structures: Falling costs for wind and solar have made renewables competitive in many markets, but the full cost of deployment depends on local prices, taxes and, crucially, the cost…
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What’s driving rising global inequality

Unpacking Global Inequality’s Causes

Global inequality—both across nations and within their borders—has evolved through a tangled interplay of economic, technological, political and environmental forces over the past forty years, with some dynamics narrowing gaps between countries, as seen in China’s rapid expansion and growth across parts of Asia, while others have significantly deepened income and wealth divides within most advanced and many emerging economies; grasping these underlying forces clarifies why resources accumulate among a limited few even as vast populations remain exposed to persistent vulnerability.Key forces shaping the economyStrong returns on capital relative to overall expansion The dynamic underscored by Thomas Piketty—showing that capital…
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What signals indicate a business has durable pricing power?

When Global Prices Raise Local Costs: Imported Inflation Explained

Inflation does not arise solely from internal demand or wage-driven forces. Open economies consistently take in price pressures generated abroad. Imported inflation emerges when rising costs of foreign goods and services, or changes in exchange rates and global supply dynamics, pass through into local prices. Grasping these mechanisms, circumstances, and policy consequences enables businesses, policymakers, and households to navigate risks and respond with greater effectiveness.Primary pathways of imported inflationExchange rate pass-through: When the domestic currency depreciates, imported goods become costlier, and retailers, manufacturers, and service providers that rely on foreign inputs frequently shift these elevated expenses to consumers, pushing overall…
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Why energy storage isn’t just about batteries

Unpacking Energy Storage: It’s Not Only About Batteries

Public debate often associates energy storage with lithium-ion batteries, and understandably so, as these batteries have driven swift progress in grid flexibility, electric vehicles, and decentralized energy systems. However, achieving a full energy transition demands a diversified suite of storage technologies. Distinct storage methods offer different durations, capacities, costs, environmental impacts, and grid-support functions. Viewing storage as a one-technology issue can lead to technical mismatches, economic drawbacks, and lost chances to strengthen resilience.What “storage” must deliverEnergy storage serves more than one purpose. Systems are evaluated based on:Duration: spanning milliseconds to seconds for frequency regulation, minutes to hours for peak shifting,…
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How global interest rates affect local living costs

Decoding Global Interest Rates’ Influence on Local Living

Global interest rates determined by major central banks and mirrored in international bond yields influence the worldwide cost of borrowing. Their effects ripple into everyday expenses such as mortgages, rents, groceries, energy, and consumer loans, even when local central banks set domestic policy. This article describes the transmission mechanisms, presents specific examples and figures, and highlights how households, businesses, and policymakers perceive and react to shifts in global rates.Key transmission channelsGlobal interest rates influence local living costs through several linked channels:Exchange rates and import prices: When global interest rates climb, especially in major reserve currencies, capital tends to flow toward…
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How climate compliance is monitored when data is weak

Monitoring Climate Compliance: Addressing Weak Data

Insufficient or patchy environmental information poses a widespread obstacle for governments, regulators, and companies seeking to uphold climate obligations. Such weak data may arise from limited monitoring networks, uneven self-reporting practices, outdated emissions records, or political and technical hurdles that restrict access. Even with these constraints, regulators and verification organizations rely on a combination of remote sensing, statistical estimation, proxy metrics, focused audits, conservative accounting methods, and institutional safeguards to evaluate and enforce adherence to climate commitments.Types of data weakness and why they matterWeakness in climate data arises in several ways:Spatial gaps: few monitoring stations or limited geographic coverage, common…
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Israel’s new spymaster is a Netanyahu aide who believed war with Iran would topple the regime

New Israeli Spymaster: A Netanyahu Loyalist Who Saw Iran War as Regime Change

A major shift in Israel’s intelligence leadership is taking shape as tensions with Iran persist, and earlier assumptions about how the conflict would unfold have not been realized, prompting renewed scrutiny of strategic choices, decision-making processes, and the future course of regional security policies.A significant transition is underway within Israel’s intelligence apparatus at a time when the country remains deeply engaged in a prolonged and complex confrontation with Iran. At the center of this shift is the upcoming appointment of Roman Gofman as the new head of Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence agency. His arrival comes after weeks of continued hostilities…
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Why bad emissions accounting undermines climate action

Climate Action Undermined by Flawed Emissions Data

Accurate tracking of emissions forms the backbone of sound climate policy, corporate climate planning, and informed investor choices. When emissions are misreported, overlooked, or counted more than once, the issue goes far beyond a technical mistake: it distorts incentives, slows mitigation efforts, misallocates financial resources, and weakens public confidence. Below I describe why flawed accounting has such consequences, provide specific examples and data, and propose workable solutions.The role that robust emissions accounting is meant to fulfillGood accounting should consistently capture greenhouse gas (GHG) sources and sinks, assign roles across stakeholders and actions, monitor advancement toward established goals, and support claims…
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Why global supply chains still feel fragile

The Persistent Fragility of Global Supply Chains

Global supply chains are larger and more connected than ever, yet they regularly feel brittle. Disruptions that once would have been localized now ripple across continents. That fragility is not just a series of bad events; it is the product of structural choices, changing risk landscapes, and incentives that prioritize cost efficiency over redundancy. Understanding why requires looking at concrete disruptions, systemic drivers, and the realistic trade-offs firms and governments face when trying to harden supply lines.High-profile shocks that exposed weak linksCOVID-19 pandemic: Factory closures, workforce shortages, and volatile demand between 2020 and 2022 led to widespread scarcities in medical…
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